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All 7 sport models, every edge size. Nothing held back.

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Every Model. Every Game.
On the Record.

We build a separate model for each sport, grade every forecast against the market the moment a game ends, and post all of it here. Scroll down and see how each sport's model actually performs.

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BE label appears when stored juice changes the hurdle; standard 52.4 BE hurdleabove breakevenbelow breakevenMLB ML/RL and NHL ML/PL use actual stored prices.

NFL

Card power model

1,521graded

Canonical walk-forward grades

Current / latest season

2025 NFL Season
ATS52.9%135-120
255 graded
Totals51.4%131-124
255 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
54.5%
79-66 | 145
Moderate
51.6%
48-45 | 93
Wide
47.1%
8-9 | 17
O/U edge size
Thin
51.5%
35-33 | 68
Moderate
50.0%
50-50 | 100
Wide
52.3%
45-41 | 86

Historical · prior seasons

2024 NFL Season + 2023 NFL Season
ATS55.8%284-225
509 graded
Totals50.6%254-248
502 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
55.3%
151-122 | 273
Moderate
57.5%
111-82 | 193
Wide
51.2%
22-21 | 43
O/U edge size
Thin
53.3%
90-79 | 169
Moderate
49.2%
96-99 | 195
Wide
50.0%
68-68 | 136

Latest graded NFL season is shown as current until the next season has results.

NBA

Composite card model

6,701graded

Current production grades + prior walk-forward seasons

Current / latest season

2025-26 NBA Season
ATS50.1%600-597
1,197 graded
Totals53.2%507-446
953 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
50.0%
188-188 | 376
Moderate
50.3%
233-230 | 463
Wide
50.0%
179-179 | 358
O/U edge size
Thin
48.0%
158-171 | 329
Moderate
58.6%
222-157 | 379
Wide
51.8%
127-118 | 245

Historical · prior seasons

2024-25 NBA Season + 2023-24 NBA Season
ATS50.8%1162-1124
2,286 graded
Totals48.7%1103-1162
2,265 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
48.4%
331-353 | 684
Moderate
48.2%
407-438 | 845
Wide
56.0%
424-333 | 757
O/U edge size
Thin
46.9%
330-374 | 704
Moderate
51.8%
472-439 | 911
Wide
46.3%
301-349 | 650

Current season updates from production game-card grades; history uses the prior two audited seasons.

MLB

Full-game card model

16,152graded

Current overnight grades + prior walk-forward seasons

Current / latest season

MLB 2026
Moneyline53.6%497-430
927 graded | BE 56.7%
Totals49.0%425-442
867 graded
Moneyline lean size
Thin
50.9%
202-195 | 397
BE 53.7%
Moderate
53.3%
139-122 | 261
BE 56.5%
Wide
58.0%
156-113 | 269
BE 61.9%
O/U edge size
Thin
52.8%
65-58 | 123
Moderate
46.7%
49-56 | 105
Wide
48.0%
24-26 | 50

Historical · prior seasons

MLB 2025 + MLB 2024
Moneyline55.4%2501-2012
4,513 graded | BE 57.2%
Totals51.0%2257-2169
4,426 graded
Moneyline lean size
Thin
52.4%
1097-997 | 2,094
BE 53.7%
Moderate
54.1%
773-655 | 1,428
BE 58.0%
Wide
63.7%
631-360 | 991
BE 65.0%
O/U edge size
Thin
50.6%
280-273 | 553
Moderate
53.4%
288-251 | 539
Wide
51.0%
150-144 | 294
Run line

Current / latest season

MLB 2026
Run line53.0%483-428
911 graded | BE 46.7%
Run-line lean size
Thin
50.6%
197-192 | 389
BE 46.8%
Moderate
48.2%
123-132 | 255
BE 45.8%
Wide
61.0%
163-104 | 267
BE 47.6%

Historical · prior seasons

MLB 2025 + MLB 2024
Run line46.1%2078-2430
4,508 graded | BE 47.4%
Run-line lean size
Thin
47.3%
990-1102 | 2,092
BE 47.3%
Moderate
42.7%
609-817 | 1,426
BE 45.8%
Wide
48.4%
479-511 | 990
BE 50.0%

MLB moneyline and run-line breakevens use stored market prices; totals do not show a BE label because total-side juice is not stored in the card grade.

NHL

Ensemble card model

11,408graded

Production moneyline and puck-line grades

Current / latest season

2025-26 NHL season
Moneyline54.0%737-629
1,366 graded | BE 52.0%
Totals52.3%679-619
1,298 graded
Moneyline edge size
Thin
53.0%
340-301 | 641
BE 51.7%
Moderate
53.6%
224-194 | 418
BE 52.6%
Wide
56.4%
173-134 | 307
BE 52.0%
O/U edge size
Thin
57.6%
76-56 | 132
Moderate
52.0%
132-122 | 254
Wide
66.7%
2-1 | 3

Historical · prior seasons

2024-25 NHL season + 2023-24 NHL season
Moneyline54.0%1354-1153
2,507 graded | BE 50.5%
Totals50.8%1200-1164
2,364 graded
Moneyline edge size
Thin
54.2%
587-497 | 1,084
BE 50.1%
Moderate
55.0%
438-359 | 797
BE 51.3%
Wide
52.6%
329-297 | 626
BE 50.3%
O/U edge size
Thin
49.7%
142-144 | 286
Moderate
55.1%
220-179 | 399
Wide
54.5%
18-15 | 33
Puck line

Current / latest season

2025-26 NHL season
Puck line60.8%830-536
1,366 graded | BE 56.2%
Puck-line edge size
Thin
58.5%
416-295 | 711
BE 53.7%
Moderate
63.4%
305-176 | 481
BE 59.6%
Wide
62.6%
109-65 | 174
BE 57.8%

Historical · prior seasons

2024-25 NHL season + 2023-24 NHL season
Puck line57.6%1444-1063
2,507 graded | BE 56.2%
Puck-line edge size
Thin
56.4%
617-477 | 1,094
BE 53.1%
Moderate
58.4%
502-358 | 860
BE 59.4%
Wide
58.8%
325-228 | 553
BE 58.0%

NHL moneyline and puck-line breakevens use stored pick prices; totals do not show a BE label because total-side juice is not stored in the card grade.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Card power model

4,440graded

Canonical walk-forward grades

Current / latest season

2025 CFB FBS Season
ATS53.0%401-356
757 graded
Totals53.4%403-351
754 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
53.4%
183-160 | 343
Moderate
54.4%
130-109 | 239
Wide
50.3%
88-87 | 175
O/U edge size
Thin
50.6%
90-88 | 178
Moderate
54.5%
122-102 | 224
Wide
54.4%
191-160 | 351

Historical · prior seasons

2024 CFB FBS Season + 2023 CFB FBS Season
ATS51.3%759-721
1,480 graded
Totals54.5%789-660
1,449 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
52.8%
311-278 | 589
Moderate
50.0%
263-263 | 526
Wide
50.7%
185-180 | 365
O/U edge size
Thin
49.3%
141-145 | 286
Moderate
54.2%
200-169 | 369
Wide
56.4%
446-345 | 791

CFB cards use the canonical walk-forward table for completed games.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Composite card model

20,299graded

Current production grades + walk-forward history

Current / latest season

2025-26 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball
ATS51.8%2628-2449
5,077 graded
Totals49.6%2497-2533
5,030 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
52.7%
1033-927 | 1,960
Moderate
49.0%
909-945 | 1,854
Wide
54.3%
686-577 | 1,263
O/U edge size
Thin
49.7%
917-929 | 1,846
Moderate
49.6%
1016-1032 | 2,048
Wide
49.6%
564-572 | 1,136

Historical · prior seasons

2024-25 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball + 2023-24 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball
ATS50.2%5121-5071
10,192 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
50.0%
2134-2135 | 4,269
Moderate
50.9%
1965-1894 | 3,859
Wide
49.5%
1022-1042 | 2,064

The historical line is the same walk-forward source used by the CBB accuracy surface.

WNBA

Composite card model

1,205graded

Current production grades + prior audited seasons

Current / latest season

2026 WNBA Season
ATS54.7%29-24
53 graded
Totals47.1%24-27
51 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
77.8%
7-2 | 9
Moderate
50.0%
10-10 | 20
Wide
50.0%
12-12 | 24
O/U edge size
Thin
57.7%
15-11 | 26
Moderate
36.0%
9-16 | 25
Wide
--
no graded

Historical · prior seasons

2025 WNBA Season + 2024 WNBA Season
ATS49.5%274-279
553 graded
Totals52.2%286-262
548 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
48.6%
72-76 | 148
Moderate
48.2%
95-102 | 197
Wide
51.4%
107-101 | 208
O/U edge size
Thin
47.7%
93-102 | 195
Moderate
53.7%
139-120 | 259
Wide
57.4%
54-40 | 94

Current WNBA grades roll in from the production table; history uses audited prior-season rows.

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